周一，澳元保持近期跌幅，至0.648美元左右，中东地缘政治紧张局势加剧，继续打压市场情绪。上周末，以色列和伊朗针对彼此的能源基础设施发动了新的袭击，引发了人们对更广泛的地区冲突的担忧，从而提振了对美元的避险需求，风险规避情绪加剧。此外，挥之不去的贸易不确定性进一步给澳元带来压力，市场仍在消化上周宣布的美中贸易协定的模糊框架。与此同时，中国5月份喜忧参半的经济数据未能提振澳元，零售销售显示温和增长，工业生产略有放缓，固定资产投资低于预期，这表明中国复苏势头不平衡。在国内，本周的就业市场数据将受到密切关注，以了解澳大利亚的经济健康状况及其对澳大利亚储备银行利率前景的影响。

The Australian dollar held its recent decline to around $0.648 on Monday, as heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continued to weigh on market sentiment. Risk aversion intensified after Israel and Iran launched fresh attacks over the weekend, targeting each other’s energy infrastructure and stoking fears of a broader regional conflict, which boosted safe-haven demand for the US dollar. Additionally, lingering trade uncertainties further pressured the Aussie, with markets still digesting the vague framework of a tentative US–China trade agreement announced last week. Meanwhile, mixed Chinese economic data for May failed to lift the Australian dollar, with retail sales showing moderate growth, industrial production slowing slightly, and fixed asset investment missing expectations—signaling uneven momentum in China’s recovery. At home, this week’s job market data will be closely watched for insights into Australia’s economic health and its impact on the RBA’s rate outlook.