美元预测：DXY因看跌就业报告而承压。随着国债收益率下降，交易员关注就业和CPI数据，美元指数走低，如果看跌数据出现，关键支撑位将面临风险。

US Dollar Forecast: DXY Pressured with Bears Focused on Jobs Report.The US Dollar Index drifts lower as Treasury yields fall and traders eye jobs and CPI data, with key support at risk if bearish data hits.

油价新闻：在大挤压之前，供应过剩拖累WTI。在明显的供应过剩、西方需求下降和库存膨胀的压力下，油价正在下跌。对于任何追逐下一次反弹的人来说，这是一个危险的设置。

Oil Price News: Oversupply Drags WTI Before the Big Squeeze.Oil prices are slipping under the weight of a visible supply glut, fading Western demand, and swelling inventories. A dangerous setup for anyone chasing the next bounce.

美联储威廉姆斯认为就业市场降温，关税风险得到控制。纽约联储主席约翰·威廉姆斯表示，随着美联储从适度限制的立场转向中立，货币政策在2026年之前“处于有利地位”。他强调，有必要将通胀率恢复到2%的目标，同时不会给劳动力市场带来“过度风险”，并在最近的削减后将当前的政策制定为适当平衡。

Fed's Williams sees cooling jobs market, tariff risks contained.New York Fed President John Williams said monetary policy is “well positioned” heading into 2026, as the Fed has moved from a modestly restrictive stance toward neutral. He emphasized the need to return inflation to the 2% target without creating “undue risks” to the labor market, framing current policy as appropriately balanced after recent cuts.

美联储的Miran敦促加快宽松政策，住房通缩将抵消粘性商品价格。美联储理事Stephen Miran在上次联邦公开市场委员会会议上表示反对，支持更大幅度的50个基点降息，他在今天的一次演讲中强化了自己的温和立场，认为通胀风险被夸大了。

Fed's Miran presses case for faster easing, shelter disinflation will offset sticky goods prices.Fed Governor Stephen Miran, who dissented at the last FOMC meeting in favor of a larger 50bps cut, reinforced his dovish stance in a speech today, arguing that inflation risks are being overstated.