美元预测：随着美联储鸽派预期的建立，DXY疲软。美元走弱，交易员预计美联储下周降息的可能性为87%。疲软的劳动力数据和温和的预期超过了联邦公开市场委员会之前国债收益率的上升。

US Dollar Forecast: DXY Weakens as Dovish Fed Expectations Build.Dollar weakens as traders price in 87% chance of Fed rate cut next week. Weak labor data and dovish expectations outweigh rising Treasury yields ahead of FOMC.

日元展望：决定美元/日元走势的点和异议。美元/日元进入由美联储主导的关键一周。虽然日本收益率影响了最近的走势，但这一主题在周三的联邦公开市场委员会决定中退居次要地位。

Japanese Yen Outlook: Dots and Dissents to Dictate USD/JPY Direction.USD/JPY enters a critical week dominated by the Fed. While Japanese yields have influenced recent moves, that theme takes a back seat to Wednesday's FOMC decision.

11月哥伦比亚消费者价格指数（同比）低于预测（5.45%）：实际（5.3%）。11月哥伦比亚消费者价格指数（同比）低于预测（5.45%）：实际（5.3%）

Colombia Consumer Price Index (YoY) below forecasts (5.45%) in November: Actual (5.3%).Colombia Consumer Price Index (YoY) below forecasts (5.45%) in November: Actual (5.3%)

哥伦比亚11月消费者价格指数（MoM）比预测（0.2%）低0.07%。哥伦比亚11月消费者价格指数（MoM）比预测（0.2%）低0.07%

Colombia Consumer Price Index (MoM) came in at 0.07% below forecasts (0.2%) in November.Colombia Consumer Price Index (MoM) came in at 0.07% below forecasts (0.2%) in November

天然气价格预测：爆炸性飙升至5.50美元——回调风险上升。周五，天然气价格飙升至5.50美元的新趋势高点，清除了200%的通道延伸和61.8%的斐波那契，达到5.28美元，同时确认了4.90美元以上的长期突破，创下2022年12月初以来的最高周收盘价。

Natural Gas Price Forecast: Explosive Spike to $5.50 – Pullback Risk Rising.Natural gas spiked to a new trend high of $5.50 Friday, clearing both the 200% channel extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci at $5.28 while confirming the long-term breakout above $4.90 with the highest weekly close since early-December 2022.

美元/日元展望：日元试图在日本央行可能的政策转变中站稳脚跟。在过去的五个交易日中，美元/日元累计下跌超过0.6%，对日元有利，因为日元在日本央行最近的评论后开始走强，这表明年底将采取更激进的货币政策立场。目前，短期内抛售压力仍然占主导地位，如果日本央行确认更严格的政策，如果美元持续疲软，这种偏见可能会持续下去。

USD/JPY Outlook: The Yen Attempts to Gain Ground Amid a Possible BOJ Policy Shift.Over the past five trading sessions, USD/JPY has accumulated a decline of more than 0.6% in favor of the Japanese yen, as the currency begins to strengthen following recent comments from the Bank of Japan, which suggest a more aggressive monetary policy stance toward year-end. For now, selling pressure remains dominant in the short term, and this bias could continue if a more restrictive policy is confirmed by the BOJ and if U.S. dollar weakness persists.

美联储利率决定是下周的亮点。美联储的决定是下周央行四项决定中的一项。澳大利亚储备银行将于周一晚上（美国东部时间晚上10:30）在美国宣布其利率决定。预计3.60%不变。

The US Federal Reserve rate decision the highlight next week.The Fed decision is 1 of 4 central bank decisions next week. The reserve Bank of Australia will announce their rate decision on Monday night in the US (10:30 PM ET) The expectations are for no change at 3.60%.

日本商品期货交易委员会日元NC净头寸从之前的70.4万日元升至68.1万日元。日本商品期货交易委员会日元NC净头寸从之前的70.4万日元升至68.1万日元

Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions rose from previous ¥70.4K to ¥681K.Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions rose from previous ¥70.4K to ¥681K

英国商品期货交易委员会英镑NC净头寸从之前的-16.8K英镑降至-20.3万英镑。英国商品期货交易委员会英镑NC净头寸从之前的-16.8K英镑降至-20.3万英镑

United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions down to £-203K from previous £-16.8K.United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions down to £-203K from previous £-16.8K

市场每周展望-联邦公开市场委员会降息倒计时，经济预测可能是关键。周五，美国主要股指均小幅上涨。道琼斯指数上涨236.46点（上涨0.49%），标准普尔500指数上涨31.44点（上涨0.46%），纳斯达克指数上涨131.27点（上涨0.56%）。

Markets Weekly Outlook – FOMC Rate Cut Countdown, Economic Projections May Hold the Key.On Friday, the main US stock market indexes all moved slightly higher. The Dow Jones gained 236.46 points (a 0.49% rise), the S&P 500 increased by 31.44 points (a 0.46% gain), and the Nasdaq rose by 131.27 points (a 0.56% increase).

乐观的劳工报告公布后，加元飙升。乐观的劳工报告公布后，加元飙升

Canadian Dollar soars after upbeat labor report.Canadian Dollar soars after upbeat labor report

美元兑联邦公开市场委员会：欧元/美元、英镑/美元、美元/日元、美元/加元。Kevin Hassett预计将成为下一任美联储主席的消息带来了对美元的看跌。一周前，美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特（Scott Bessent）任命现任国家经济委员会主任为可能的下一任央行行长候选人，这有助于提振股市，推动美元抛售，这一主题一直持续到本周，因为特朗普总统表示，他已经知道要提名谁。

US Dollar into FOMC: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CAD.The announcement that Kevin Hassett is expected to be the next Fed Chair brought with it a bearish drive to the US Dollar. The current Director of the National Economic Council was named by US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent as the likely next nominee to head the Central Bank a week earlier and that helped to rally equities and drive a sell-off in the Dollar, and that theme continued through this week as President Trump said that he already knew who he was going to name.

每周底线：美联储扮演圣诞老人，削减政策利率。加拿大劳动力市场的最新情况是12月开局平静的唯一事件。与最近的天气不同，这些数据带来了一些热度。

The Weekly Bottom Line: Fed to Play Santa, Cut Policy Rate.An update to Canada's labour market was the sole event in an otherwise quiet start to December. And unlike the recent weather, the data brought some heat.

贝克休斯石油钻井平台数量+6至413。回想上周，贝克休斯石油钻井平台数量下降了-12个。今天，他们上涨了一半，上涨了6点，达到413点。

Baker Hughes oil rig count +6 to 413.Recall last week, Baker Hughes oil rig count fell -12. Today they rose by half of that with a gain of 6 to 413.

美国贝克休斯公司美国石油钻机数量高于预测（409）：实际（413）。美国贝克休斯公司美国石油钻机数量高于预测（409）：实际（413）

United States Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count above forecasts (409): Actual (413).United States Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count above forecasts (409): Actual (413)