investingLive亚太外汇新闻摘要：日元因GDP数据不佳而下跌。中国农历新年假期的第一天，整个亚洲股市表现低迷，内地股市本周休市，新加坡和香港也计划休市。美国总统日假期进一步削弱了交易条件，美国股市关闭，SIFMA建议全面关闭美元固定收益交易。

investingLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Yen lost ground on poor GDP data.It was a subdued session across Asia on the first day of China's Lunar New Year holiday, with mainland markets closed for the week and additional closures scheduled in Singapore and Hong Kong. Trading conditions were further thinned by the US Presidents' Day holiday, with US equity markets shut and SIFMA recommending a full closure for US dollar fixed-income trading.

美国和中国假期交易暂停，美元指数稳定在97.00附近。美国和中国假期交易暂停，美元指数稳定在97.00附近

US Dollar Index steadies near 97.00 amid US, China holiday trading pause.US Dollar Index steadies near 97.00 amid US, China holiday trading pause

日本避开了技术性衰退，第四季度经济增长环比仅增长0.1%。日本经济在第四季度勉强避免了技术性衰退，但反弹低于预期。GDP环比仅增长0.1%，低于0.4%的预测，尽管与第三季度-0.6%的收缩相比有所改善。

Japan sidesteps technical recession as Q4 growth barely grows by 0.1% qoq.Japan's economy narrowly avoided a technical recession in Q4, but the rebound fell short of expectations. GDP rose just 0.1% qoq, below the 0.4% forecast, though an improvement from Q3's -0.6% contraction.

日本首相高市将与日本央行行长植田举行大选胜利后的首次会晤。日本央行行长植田一夫（Kazuo Ueda）和首相高市（Sanae Takaichi）将于周一举行自执政党以压倒性优势赢得选举以来的首次双边会议，这可能是讨论央行类似利率计划的场所。

Japan PM Takaichi to hold first meeting with BOJ chief Ueda since election win.Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda and Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi will hold their first bilateral meeting on Monday since the ruling party's landslide election victory, which could serve as a venue to discuss the central bank's rate-hike plans.

新西兰BNZ服务降至50.9，就业疲软抵消了销售强劲。新西兰1月份的BusinessNZ服务绩效指数从51.7降至50.9，进一步低于调查的历史平均值52.8。虽然该指数仍处于小幅扩张区间，但细节显示情况喜忧参半。

NZ BNZ services falls to 50.9, employment weakness offsets sales strength.New Zealand's BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index eased from 51.7 to 50.9 in January, slipping further below the survey's historical average of 52.8. While the index remains marginally in expansion territory, the details reveal a mixed picture.

日元在强势一周后走软，美元保持稳定，交易员权衡利率前景。日元在上周因缓解财政担忧而强劲上涨后，本周开始下跌，而美元则保持稳定，因为疲软的通胀数据增加了美联储今年晚些时候降息的理由。

Yen softens after strong week, dollar steady as traders weigh rate outlook.The Japanese yen started the week on the back foot after strong gains last week on easing fiscal worries while the U.S. dollar was steady as soft inflation data boosted the case for interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve later this year.

联邦公开市场委员会将在2026年继续受到通货膨胀的限制。尽管存在严重的不确定性，但美国经济在今年年初继续表现强劲。根据亚特兰大联邦储备银行最新的GDPnow预测，即使是有史以来最长的联邦政府停摆也不足以使GDP增长放缓到趋势水平，更不用说低于趋势水平了。

FOMC to Remain Constrained by Inflation in 2026.The US economy continued to perform strongly through the turn of the year despite acute uncertainty. According to the latest Atlanta Fed GDPnow nowcast, not even the longest Federal Government shutdown on record was enough to slow GDP growth to trend, let alone below it.

美元将测试数十年的水平。美元最初从12月底的97.9反弹至1月中旬的99.4。然而，它随后迷失了方向，跌至近4年来的低点96.2，现在为97.0。

Dollar Set to Test Multi-Decade Levels.The US dollar initially rallied from 97.9 in late-December to 99.4 mid-January. However, it then lost its way, falling back to a near 4-year low of 96.2, now 97.0.

英镑兑美元持平，交易员等待英国关键宏观数据和联邦公开市场委员会会议纪要。英镑兑美元持平，交易员等待英国关键宏观数据和联邦公开市场委员会会议纪要

British Pound flat lines vs. USD as traders await key UK macro data and FOMC minutes.British Pound flat lines vs. USD as traders await key UK macro data and FOMC minutes

印度卢比将继续处于防御状态，债券将对供应压力作出反应。印度卢比本周可能会保持守势，因为交易员们正在衡量它是否能保持在91美元以上，而债券收益率将面临供应压力，并着眼于政府或央行的任何支持。

Indian rupee to remain on defensive, bonds to react to supply pressure.The Indian rupee is likely to stay on the defensive this week as traders gauge whether it can hold above the 91-per-dollar mark, while bond yields will contend with supply pressure, with an eye on any support from the government or central bank.

日本初级联合政府首脑警告不要对日本央行政策进行政治干预。执政联盟初级伙伴的领导人告诉路透社，日本政府必须避免干预货币政策，并专注于采取措施建立一个足够强大的经济，以抵御任何进一步加息的潜在痛苦。

Japan's junior coalition head warns against political meddling in BOJ policy.Japan's government must avoid meddling in monetary policy and focus on steps to build an economy strong enough to weather the potential pain from any further interest rate hikes, the leader of the ruling coalition's junior partner told Reuters.

2025年第四季度日本国内生产总值环比增长0.1%，而预期为0.4%。2025年第四季度日本国内生产总值环比增长0.1%，而预期为0.4%

Japan's GDP grew 0.1% QoQ in Q4 2025 vs 0.4% expected.Japan's GDP grew 0.1% QoQ in Q4 2025 vs 0.4% expected

欧元/日元，英镑/日元：熊市每周逆转测试牛市趋势。上周，日元交叉盘向看涨者发出了明确警告，欧元/日元和英镑/日元在每周的时间范围内都出现了相当大的看跌反转模式。虽然目前更广泛的上升趋势保持不变，但这些信号在较高水平上的出现表明，方向性风险可能正在开始转变。

EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY: Bearish Weekly Reversals Test Bullish Trends.Yen crosses delivered a clear warning to bulls last week, with EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY both printing sizeable bearish reversal patterns on the weekly timeframe. While the broader uptrends remain intact for now, the emergence of these signals at elevated levels suggests directional risks may be starting to shift.

日元走弱，因GDP未能满足日本央行加息的预期；美元/日元重拍153.00。日元走弱，因GDP未能满足日本央行加息的预期；美元/日元重拍153.00

Japanese Yen weakens as GDP miss tempers BoJ rate hike bets; USD/JPY retakes 153.00.Japanese Yen weakens as GDP miss tempers BoJ rate hike bets; USD/JPY retakes 153.00

日元预测：日本GDP下滑后美元/日元攀升。日本国内生产总值疲软为4月日本央行加息押注降温，但美联储降息预期使美元/日元承压。技术信号指向下行风险。

Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY Climbs After Japan's GDP Miss.Soft Japan GDP cools April BoJ hike bets, but Fed rate cut expectations keep USD/JPY under pressure. Technical signals point to downside risks.