周三,澳元兑美元汇率在前一天的平静交易后走强至0.661美元左右,因为投资者消化了8月份消费者价格强于预期的上涨。数据显示,整体通胀以一年来最快的速度加速,尽管核心通胀有所缓解,突显出价格压力喜忧参半。这些数据保持了对澳大利亚储备银行在9月份会议上将利率维持在3.6%不变的预期不变,而11月份降息的可能性从公布前的70%降至60%。政策制定者一直淡化月度CPI系列,理由是其波动性,并更愿意根据季度数据做出决定。州长米歇尔·布洛克本周早些时候表示,随着劳动力市场保持弹性,通胀有望恢复到目标水平。总的来说,这些数据表明,立即采取行动的紧迫性不大,这加强了央行在短期内对政策调整的谨慎立场。
The Australian dollar strengthened to around $0.661 on Wednesday, after a muted session in the previous day, as investors digested a stronger-than-expected rise in August consumer prices. The data showed headline inflation accelerating at the fastest pace in a year, though core inflation eased, highlighting mixed price pressures. The figures kept expectations intact for the Reserve Bank of Australia to leave rates unchanged at 3.6% in its September meeting, while the chances of a November rate cut eased to 60% from 70% before the release. Policymakers have consistently downplayed the monthly CPI series, citing its volatility, and prefer to base decisions on quarterly figures. Governor Michele Bullock earlier this week signaled confidence that inflation is on track to return to target as the labor market remains resilient. Taken together, the data suggested little urgency for immediate action, reinforcing the central bank's cautious stance on policy adjustments in the near term.