周二，欧洲股市小幅下跌，因贸易不确定性，人们怀疑欧洲央行是否会继续降息。欧元区STOXX 50指数下跌0.3%，至5288点，泛欧STOXX 600指数下跌0.2%，至540点。报告显示，欧盟对一项涉及对其许多出口产品征收10%普遍关税的协议持开放态度，但正在寻求美国在制药、酒精、半导体和商用飞机等关键领域的让步。据彭博社援引消息人士称，欧盟贸易主管预计将于本周率领代表团前往华盛顿，努力推进谈判。在数据方面，初步数据显示，欧元区通胀率如预期般为2%，保持在欧洲央行的目标水平。与此同时，欧洲央行首席经济学家Philip Lane表示，央行最近的紧缩周期已经结束。工业和银行股领跌，空客、赛峰集团和联合信贷银行股价下跌5%至2%。反过来，LVMH、开云集团和欧莱雅的股价上涨了约4%。

European stocks edged lower on Tuesday on trade uncertainty with doubts on whether the ECB would continue to cut interest rates. The Eurozone's STOXX 50 fell 0.3% to 5,288, and the pan-European STOXX 600 dropped 0.2% to 540. Reports indicated that the EU is open to a deal involving a 10% universal tariff on many of its exports, but is seeking concessions from the US on key sectors such as pharmaceuticals, alcohol, semiconductors, and commercial aircraft. The EU’s trade chief is expected to lead a delegation to Washington this week in an effort to advance the talks, according to sources cited by Bloomberg. On the data front, preliminary figures showed Eurozone inflation came in at 2% as expected, staying at the ECB’s target. Meanwhile, ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane stated that the central bank’s recent tightening cycle has concluded. Industrials and banks led the losses with Airbus, Safran, and UniCredit dropping between 5% and 2%. In turn, LVMH, Kering, and L'Oreal added around 4%.

欧元保持在1.18美元大关，徘徊在2021年8月以来的最高水平附近，因为投资者在欧元区通胀率达到欧洲央行2%的目标后评估了欧洲央行政策制定者的评论。在欧洲央行中央银行论坛上，克里斯蒂娜·拉加德总统对6月份的通胀数据表示欢迎，该数据如预期般公布，但警告称，经济碎片化加剧和地缘政治紧张局势升级带来了“双重风险”。其他欧洲央行官员表示，在对全球贸易紧张局势、中东不稳定以及欧元近期走强的持续担忧中，自2024年6月以来连续八次下调存款利率后，利率可能会在本月的会议上保持稳定。尽管美国总统特朗普关税的影响存在不确定性，但市场继续对美联储降息进行定价，共同货币也受到美元疲软的支撑。

The euro remained at the $1.18 mark, hovering near its highest level since August 2021, as investors assessed comments from European Central Bank policymakers following the eurozone’s inflation rate hitting the ECB’s 2% target. Speaking at the ECB Forum on Central Banking, President Christine Lagarde welcomed the June inflation data, which came in as projected, but warned of “two-sided risks” stemming from growing economic fragmentation and escalating geopolitical tensions. Other ECB officials indicated that interest rates will likely be held steady at this month’s meeting, following eight consecutive cuts to the deposit rate since June 2024, amid ongoing concerns over global trade tensions, instability in the Middle East, and the euro’s recent strength. The common currency has also been supported by a weaker US dollar, as markets continue to price in Federal Reserve rate cuts despite uncertainty over the impact of US President Trump’s tariffs.

欧元攀升至1.180美元以上，为2021年8月以来的最高水平，这得益于欧元区通胀已经稳定的迹象。欧盟统计局报告6月份通胀率为2%，与欧洲央行的目标相匹配，略高于5月份的1.9%。核心通胀率稳定在2.3%，而服务业通胀率上升至3.3%。这些数据强化了欧洲央行官员的观点，即通胀基本得到控制，这可能证明自2024年6月以来八次降息后暂停降息是合理的。与此同时，消费者调查显示通胀预期下降，增加了保持利率稳定的理由。美元走弱也提振了欧元，因为市场预计美联储将降息，并预计在7月9日最后期限之前美欧贸易谈判将取得进展。

The euro climbed above $1.180, its strongest level since August 2021, supported by signs that Eurozone inflation has stabilized. Eurostat reported June inflation at 2%, matching the ECB’s target and up slightly from May’s 1.9%. Core inflation remained steady at 2.3%, while services inflation ticked up to 3.3%. These figures reinforce views from ECB officials that inflation is largely under control, possibly justifying a pause in interest rate cuts after eight reductions since June 2024. Meanwhile, consumer surveys show falling inflation expectations, adding to the case for holding rates steady. The euro was also buoyed by a weaker US dollar, as markets price in Fed rate cuts and anticipate progress on US-EU trade talks ahead of a July 9 deadline.

STOXX 50和STOXX 600周二均下跌0.2%，扭转了早盘涨幅，因为投资者在7月9日互惠关税最后期限临近之前密切关注与美国的贸易谈判。彭博社报道称，欧盟对一项涉及对其许多出口产品征收10%普遍关税的协议持开放态度，但正在寻求美国在制药、酒精、半导体和商用飞机等关键领域的让步。据彭博社援引消息人士称，欧盟贸易主管预计将于本周率领代表团前往华盛顿，努力推进谈判。在数据方面，初步数据显示，欧元区通胀率如预期般为2%，保持在欧洲央行的目标水平。与此同时，欧洲央行首席经济学家Philip Lane表示，央行最近的紧缩周期已经结束。在企业方面，雀巢（-0.2%）、爱马仕（-0.4%）、ASML控股（-0.9%）和诺和诺德（-1.1%）录得亏损，而SAP（0.3%）和LVMH（2.1%）的交易呈绿色

Both the STOXX 50 and STOXX 600 slipped 0.2% on Tuesday, reversing early gains, as investors closely watched trade negotiations with the US ahead of the looming July 9 deadline for reciprocal tariffs. Bloomberg reported that the EU is open to a deal involving a 10% universal tariff on many of its exports, but is seeking concessions from the US on key sectors such as pharmaceuticals, alcohol, semiconductors, and commercial aircraft. The EU’s trade chief is expected to lead a delegation to Washington this week in an effort to advance the talks, according to sources cited by Bloomberg. On the data front, preliminary figures showed Eurozone inflation came in at 2% as expected, staying at the ECB’s target. Meanwhile, ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane stated that the central bank’s recent tightening cycle has concluded. On the corporate front, Nestle (-0.2%), Hermes (-0.4%), ASML Holding (-0.9%) and Novo Nordisk (-1.1%) booked losses while SAP (0.3%) and LVMH (2.1%) traded in the green