2025年6月,德国工厂订单环比下降1.0%,未达到市场普遍预期的1.0%增长,此前5月份下调了0.8%。这标志着连续第二个月下降,主要是由于飞机、船舶、火车和军用车辆订单大幅下降23.1%。汽车行业(-7.6%)和金属制品(-12.9%)的需求也有所减弱。相比之下,电气设备订单激增(23.5%)。资本货物订单下降5.3%,而中间产品(6.1%)和消费品(0.5%)订单增长。外国需求下降3.0%,欧元区以外的订单下降7.8%,被欧元区内部订单增长5.2%略微抵消。与此同时,国内订单增长2.2%。剔除大规模订单,整体需求增长0.5%。在波动较小的三个月平均值上,2025年第二季度工厂订单增长了3.1%,这得益于预期的全球关税上调和欧元区贸易活动反弹之前的前期需求。
Factory orders in Germany dropped 1.0% mom in June 2025, missing market consensus of a 1.0% increase and following a downwardly revised 0.8% fall in May. This marked the second straight monthly decline, largely driven by a sharp 23.1% plunge in orders for aircraft, ships, trains, and military vehicles. Demand also weakened for the automotive sector (-7.6%) and fabricated metal products (-12.9%). In contrast, orders surged for electrical equipment (23.5%). Capital goods orders fell 5.3%, while orders grew for intermediate goods (6.1%) and consumer goods (0.5%). Foreign demand shrank 3.0%, with orders from outside the euro area down 7.8%, offset slightly by a 5.2% rise in orders from within the bloc. Meanwhile, domestic orders rose 2.2%. Excluding large-scale orders, overall demand rose 0.5%. On a less volatile three-month average, factory orders increased 3.1% in Q2 2025, supported by front-loaded demand ahead of anticipated global tariff hikes and a rebound in euro area trade activity.