意大利10年期英国国债收益率回落至3.6%以下,交易员消化了一批新的经济数据,并等待美国关税政策的进一步发展。2025年第一季度,意大利经济增长0.3%,为一年来最快增速,略高于0.2%的市场预期,这得益于工业和农业部门的强劲增长。由于国内需求的弹性,欧元区整体表现也优于其他地区,增长了0.4%。在通胀方面,意大利4月份的年利率升至2%,恢复到欧洲央行的目标水平,达到2023年9月以来的最高水平。上周,欧洲央行将存款利率下调25个基点至2.25%,为2023年初以来的最低水平,并不再提及“限制性”政策立场,警告称,在贸易紧张局势升级的情况下,经济前景已经恶化。与此同时,由于特朗普政府不断演变的关税措施引发的经济衰退担忧加剧,全球情绪仍面临压力。
The yield on Italy’s 10-year BTP fell back below 3.6% as traders digested a fresh batch of economic data and awaited further developments on U.S. tariff policy. Italy’s economy grew by 0.3% in Q1 2025, the fastest pace in a year and slightly above market expectations of 0.2%, driven by stronger growth in the industrial and agricultural sectors. The broader Euro Area also outperformed, expanding by 0.4% thanks to resilient domestic demand. On the inflation front, Italy’s annual rate rose to 2% in April, returning to the European Central Bank’s target and marking the highest level since September 2023. Last week, the ECB cut its deposit rate by 25 basis points to 2.25%, the lowest since early 2023, and dropped references to a "restrictive" policy stance, warning that the economic outlook had deteriorated amid escalating trade tensions. Meanwhile, global sentiment remained under pressure due to growing recession fears driven by the Trump administration’s evolving tariff measures.