国际货币基金组织(IMF)将俄罗斯2025年的国内生产总值(GDP)增长预测从0.9%下调至0.6%,低于政府官方预测的1%。
俄罗斯经济受到西方的严重制裁,预计将从2024年的4.3%大幅放缓,主要是由于央行为对抗通货膨胀而维持的高关键利率。
目前,关键利率为17%,一些商界领袖建议,需要12%至14%的利率来重新点燃经济增长。8月份公布的初步数据显示,俄罗斯经济在2025年第二季度增长了1.1%,与去年同期的4%相比大幅放缓。
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has downgraded Russia’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth forecast for 2025 to 0.6%, down from 0.9%, and below the official government forecast of 1%.
Russia’s economy, heavily sanctioned by the West, is expected to slow sharply from 4.3% growth in 2024, primarily due to the high key interest rate maintained by the central bank to combat inflation.
The key rate currently stands at 17%, with some business leaders suggesting that a rate between 12% and 14% is needed to reignite economic growth. Preliminary data released in August showed that Russia’s economy grew by 1.1% in Q2 2025, a sharp slowdown from the 4% in the same period a year earlier.