随着该国经济复苏放缓和通货膨胀缓解，瑞典央行在6月份将政策利率下调25个基点至2%，符合预期。最近的数据显示，经济增长疲软，失业率居高不下，而通货膨胀与之前的预测一致，但由于需求疲软，预计将略低于之前的预测。降息旨在将通胀稳定在目标水平并支持经济。央行还表示，今年晚些时候有可能再次降息。贸易紧张局势和不断升级的中东冲突造成的全球不确定性继续影响着前景。尽管金融市场有所平静，一些关税可能低于此前的预期，但地缘政治风险仍然很高。在国内，实际工资的上涨提供了一些支持，但复苏的步伐比预期的要慢。货币政策的未来路径将取决于新的数据及其对通胀和增长预期的影响。

The Swedish Riksbank cut its policy rate by 25bps to 2% in June, in line with expectations, as the country's economic recovery slows and inflation eases. Recent data shows weaker growth and persistently high unemployment, while inflation has aligned with previous forecasts but is expected to fall slightly below earlier projections due to weaker demand. The rate cut aims to stabilize inflation at target and support the economy. The central bank also signaled a possibility of another cut later this year. Global uncertainty, driven by trade tensions and the escalating Middle East conflict, continues to weigh on the outlook. Although financial markets have calmed somewhat and some tariffs may be lower than previously anticipated, geopolitical risks remain high. Domestically, rising real wages offer some support, but the pace of recovery is slower than expected. The future path of monetary policy will depend on new data and how it affects inflation and growth expectations.