台湾周三出人意料地将其2025年经济增长预测从3.14%上调至3.6%，此前在美国可能征收进口关税之前，出口（尤其是科技）激增推动了第一季度的强劲表现。今年前三个月，经济同比增长5.37%，为2024年第一季度以来的最快增速。在人工智能驱动的需求推动下，强劲的生产、出口和投资为增长做出了贡献。主计处王翠华表示：“上半年预期上调，但下半年存在更多不确定性。”。经季节性调整后，经济环比增长9.67%。这一增长是在美国总统特朗普暂停全面关税计划，允许进行谈判之后出现的。台湾科技公司报告称需求强劲，特别是人工智能应用的推动。

Taiwan on Wednesday unexpectedly raised its 2025 economic growth forecast to 3.6%, up from 3.14%, following a strong first-quarter performance driven by a surge in exports, particularly in tech, ahead of potential U.S. import tariffs. The economy expanded 5.37% yoy during the first three months of the year, the fastest since Q1 2024. Strong production, exports, and investment, fueled by AI-driven demand, contributed to the growth. "First-half expectations are revised up, but there are more uncertainties for the second half," said Wang Tsui-hua of the Directorate General of Budget, Accounting, and Statistics. Quarter-on-quarter, the economy grew at a seasonally adjusted 9.67%. This boost comes after U.S. President Trump paused plans for sweeping tariffs, allowing for ongoing negotiations. Taiwan's tech firms reported strong demand, particularly driven by AI applications.

根据预先估计，台湾2025年第一季度经济增长5.37%，大大超过市场预期的3.3%，高于上一季度的2.9%。强劲的增长是由强劲的国内需求和净外部需求的积极贡献推动的。私人消费增长1.22%（2024年第四季度为2.49%），主要受餐饮、娱乐和出境旅游等服务支出的支撑。在机械、建筑和知识产权产品投资增加的推动下，资本形成总额增长了14.72%（比19.20%），而公共支出增长了0.53%（比2.14%）。与此同时，商品和服务出口激增20.11%（vs.8.9%），反映出对电子信息和通信产品的强劲需求，而进口也大幅增长23.66%（vs.18.31%）。经季节性调整后，2025年第一季度GDP增长从上一季度的6.64%加速至9.67%。

Taiwan’s economy expanded by 5.37% in the first quarter of 2025, significantly surpassing market expectations of 3.3% and up from 2.9% in the previous quarter, according to an advance estimate. The strong growth was driven by robust domestic demand and a positive contribution from net external demand. Private consumption rose 1.22% (vs. 2.49% in Q4 2024), primarily supported by spending on services such as dining, entertainment, and outbound tourism. Gross capital formation increased by 14.72% (vs. 19.20%), fueled by higher investment in machinery, construction, and intellectual property products, while public spending grew by 0.53% (vs. 2.14%). Meanwhile, exports of goods and services surged 20.11% (vs. 8.9%), reflecting strong demand for electronic information and communication products, while imports also rose significantly by 23.66% (vs. 18.31%). On a seasonally adjusted annualized basis, GDP growth accelerated to 9.67% in Q1 2025, up from 6.64% in the previous quarter.

台湾消费者信心指数从上月的71.86降至2025年4月的68.21，为一年来的最低水平。所有子指数的情绪都有所减弱：对价格的预期（3月份为34.91比35.26）、耐用品购买的时间（99.13比101.99）、家庭财务状况（79.49比81.94）、国内经济繁荣（84.09比86.8）、投资股票的时间（38.64比49.89）和就业机会（73.02比75.25）。

Taiwan's consumer confidence index dropped to 68.21 in April 2025, its lowest level in a year, from 71.86 in the previous month. Sentiment weakened for all sub-indices: expectations for prices (34.91 vs 35.26 in March), the timing of durable goods purchases (99.13 vs 101.99), family financial conditions (79.49 vs 81.94), domestic economic prosperity (84.09 vs 86.8), the timing to invest in stocks (38.64 vs 49.89), and employment opportunities (73.02 vs 75.25).

2025年3月，台湾工业生产同比增长13.65%，低于上月上调后的18.21%。采矿和采石业（-5.16%对2月份的3.13%）以及电力和天然气供应（-5.31%对-1.36%）的产量下降。与此同时，制造业的产量增长速度更快（19.29%对14.71%），而供水也有所恢复（0.15%对-2.03）。经季节性调整的月度数据显示，3月份工业活动下降0.55%，此前一个月向上修正了5.05%的增长。

Industrial production in Taiwan rose by 13.65% year-on-year in March 2025, easing from an upwardly revised 18.21% gain in the previous month. Output declined for mining and quarrying (-5.16% vs 3.13% in February) and electricity and gas supply (-5.31% vs -1.36%). Meanwhile, production increased at a faster pace for manufacturing (19.29% vs 14.71%), while water supply also recovered (0.15% vs -2.03). On a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, industrial activity dropped by 0.55% in March, following an upwardly revised 5.05% gain in the previous month.