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美国 United States
2025年4月，美国经济可能增加了13万个工作岗位，比3月份的22.8万个增长有所放缓，部分原因是不合时宜的温暖天气带来的提振作用减弱，以及唐纳德·特朗普总统激进的关税政策带来的不确定性增加。失业率预计将稳定在4.2%，而工资增长预计将略微放缓至3.8%。然而，劳工部备受关注的就业报告可能会被视为回顾性的，可能无法提供当前经济轨迹的清晰图景。此前，令人失望的GDP数据显示，美国经济在第一季度出现萎缩，主要是由于新关税出台前进口激增，这一发展，再加上劳动力市场降温的迹象，可能会促使美联储在6月降息。
The U.S. economy likely added 130,000 jobs in April 2025, a slowdown from the 228,000 gain recorded in March, partly attributed to the diminishing boost from unseasonably warm weather and growing uncertainty stemming from President Donald Trump’s aggressive tariff policies. The unemployment rate is expected to remain steady at 4.2%, while wage growth is projected to ease slightly to 3.8%. However, the Labor Department’s closely watched employment report is likely to be viewed as backward-looking and may not provide a clear picture of the economy’s current trajectory. It also follows disappointing GDP data showing the U.S. economy contracted in the first quarter largely due to a surge in imports ahead of new tariffs, a development that, combined with signs of a cooling labor market, could prompt the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in June.
