美元预测：尽管美联储前景转变，就业报告强劲，但DXY仍下跌。由于强劲的就业数据缓和了美联储的降息预期，DXY指数下跌；交易员权衡关税风险，等待央行发出更明确的信号。

US Dollar Forecast: DXY Slips Despite Strong Jobs Report as Fed Outlook Shifts.DXY slips as strong payrolls data tempers Fed cut bets; traders weigh tariff risks and await clearer signals from the central bank.

2025年3月，美国制成品新订单较上月激增4.3%，达到6188亿美元，较上月向下修正的0.5%增长有所加速，与市场4.5%的增长预期大致一致。这是自去年7月以来的最大增幅，因为客户在白宫4月份实施激进关税并迫使工厂提高价格之前加快了货物订单。耐用品行业的订单激增（9.2%，至3157亿美元），运输设备行业的订单增长（27.1%，至1246亿美元）大幅增加，而初级金属（1.1%，至279亿美元）、金属制品（0.1%，至370亿美元）和机械（0.1%，达378亿美元）的订单增长较为疲软。另一方面，电脑和电子产品的订单下降了1.3%，至254亿美元。

New order for US manufactured goods surged by 4.3% from the previous month to $618.8 billion in March of 2025, accelerating from the downwardly revise 0.5% increase from the previous month and loosely in line with market expectations of a 4.5% jump. It was the sharpest increase since July of last year as clients expedited orders of goods before the aggressive tariffs by the White House kicked in during April and forced factories to raise prices. Orders surged in durable goods industries (9.2% to $315.7 billion), carried by transportation equipment (27.1% to $124.6 billion), while softer increases were noted in primary metals (1.1% to $27.9 billion), fabricated metal products (0.1% to $37 billion) and machinery (0.1% to $37.8 billion). On the other hand, orders fell for computers and electronic products (-1.3% to $25.4 billion).

3月份美国工厂订单（月环比）低于预期（4.5%）：实际（4.3%）。3月份美国工厂订单（月环比）低于预期（4.5%）：实际（4.3%）

United States Factory Orders (MoM) below expectations (4.5%) in March: Actual (4.3%).United States Factory Orders (MoM) below expectations (4.5%) in March: Actual (4.3%)

在纽约，道琼斯指数周五上涨330点，涨幅0.81%。涨幅最大的是微软（2.73%）、英伟达（2.11%）和卡特彼勒（2.02%）。最大的损失来自苹果（-4.35%）、安进（-1.79%）和亚马逊（-1.25%）。

In New York, the Dow Jones Index is up by 330 points or 0.81 percent on Friday. Top gainers are Microsoft (2.73%), Nvidia (2.11%) and Caterpillar (2.02%). Biggest losses came from Apple (-4.35%), Amgen (-1.79%) and Amazon (-1.25%).