欧元/美元、美元/日元和澳元/美元预测——FMOC前美元走软。周三早盘，美元汇率有点疲软，因为全世界都在等待联邦公开市场委员会的决定、声明和新闻发布会。

EUR/USD, USD/JPY and AUD/USD Forecast – US Dollar Softens Ahead of FMOC.The US dollar is a bit softer in the early part of the session on Wednesday, as the world awaits the FOMC decision, statement, and press conference.

标准普尔/澳交所200指数周三微跌0.1%，收于8531点，延续了前一交易日的跌幅，地缘政治风险上升，国内关键就业数据公布前持谨慎态度。随着以色列-伊朗冲突进入第六天，市场焦虑加剧，特朗普总统要求伊朗无条件投降，并暗示美国可能进行干预。在贸易方面，中国表示愿意与澳大利亚合作，充分利用两国的自由贸易协定。在国内，焦点现在转向周四的就业报告，预计5月份将增加22500个工作岗位，失业率稳定在4.1%。劳动力市场出乎意料地具有弹性，下个月降息的75%的市场可能性可能会受到另一个坚实的影响。在企业方面，权重矿商领跌，该子指数下跌1.8%，至一个月低点，因中东紧张局势导致铜价下跌。相反，依赖出口的医疗保健类股上涨超过1%，生物技术巨头CSL领涨（1.2%）。

The S&P/ASX 200 edged down 0.1% to end at 8,531 on Wednesday, extending losses from the previous session amid rising geopolitical risks and caution ahead of key domestic jobs data. Market anxiety mounted as the Israel–Iran conflict entered its sixth day, with President Trump demanding Iran’s unconditional surrender and hinting at possible US intervention. On the trade front, China expressed willingness to work with Australia to fully leverage their free trade agreement. At home, focus now turns to Thursday’s jobs report, with expectations for a gain of 22,500 jobs in May and a steady unemployment rate of 4.1%. The labor market has been unexpectedly resilient, and another solid print could challenge the 75% market odds of a rate cut next month. On the corporate side, heavyweight miners led losses, with the sub-index down 1.8% to a one-month low as copper prices slipped on Middle East tensions. Conversely, export-reliant healthcare stocks jumped over 1%, led by biotech giant CSL (1.2%).

澳大利亚10年期政府债券收益率稳定在4.25%左右，投资者等待该国即将发布的就业市场报告。近几个月来，劳动力市场表现出了令人惊讶的弹性，另一个强劲的迹象可能会挑战市场对储备银行7月份降息的预期，目前利率为75%。然而，在中东持续紧张的情况下，债券收益率仍面临压力。尽管美国总统唐纳德·特朗普呼吁德黑兰无条件投降，但以色列和伊朗之间的敌对行动仍在持续，已进入对彼此领土发动袭击的第六天。与此同时，在美国，投资者正在为美联储当天晚些时候的政策决定做准备。虽然人们普遍预计美联储将保持利率不变，但重点将放在今年晚些时候关于潜在降息的时间和程度的任何前瞻性指导上。

Australia’s 10-year government bond yield steadied around 4.25% as investors awaited the country’s upcoming job market report. The labour market has shown surprising resilience in recent months, and another strong print could challenge market expectations of a rate cut by the Reserve Bank in July, which is currently priced at 75%. However, bond yields remain under pressure amid the ongoing tensions in the Middle East. Hostilities between Israel and Iran have persisted, entering its sixth day of attacks on each other’s territories despite a call from US President Donald Trump for Tehran's unconditional surrender. Meanwhile, in the US, investors are gearing up for the Federal Reserve’s policy decision later in the day. While the Fed is widely anticipated to keep rates unchanged, focus will be on any forward guidance regarding the timing and extent of potential rate cuts later this year.

周三，澳元走强至0.649美元左右，弥补了前一交易日的一些损失，因为地缘政治紧张局势加剧导致的油价上涨支撑了对大宗商品挂钩货币的需求。随着以色列-伊朗冲突进入第六天，市场焦虑加剧，特朗普总统要求伊朗无条件投降，并暗示美国可能进行干预。作为回应，油价继续攀升，为澳元提供了支撑，因为澳元与大宗商品市场具有很强的相关性。然而，由于以色列和伊朗继续相互攻击，澳元可能会因避险情绪而难以维持其汇率。与此同时，投资者现在正在等待美联储的政策决定，预计利率将保持不变，但在最近美国数据疲软的情况下，注意力将转向未来降息的任何信号。在国内，注意力转向周四的劳动力市场数据，这可能会为经济提供新的动力，并影响澳大利亚储备银行的政策前景。

The Australian dollar strengthened to around $0.649 on Wednesday, recouping some losses from the previous session, as higher oil prices, driven by rising geopolitical tensions, supported demand for the commodity-linked currency. Market anxiety mounted as the Israel–Iran conflict entered its sixth day, with President Trump demanding Iran’s unconditional surrender and hinting at possible US intervention. In response, oil prices continued to climb, providing support for the AUD given its strong correlation with commodity markets. However, the Aussie may struggle to maintain its ground due to a risk-off mood as Israel and Iran continue to attack each other. Meanwhile, investors now await the US Federal Reserve's policy decision, with rates expected to stay on hold but focus shifting to any signals of future cuts amid recent weak US data. Domestically, attention turns to Thursday’s labor market data, which could provide fresh momentum to the economy and influence the RBA’s policy outlook.