欧元/美元、美元/日元和澳元/美元预测——美元进入周末有点喜忧参半。周五凌晨，美元走势有点喜忧参半，因为周末将发生一系列有趣的事件。目前，美元已经超卖，但我们需要一个催化剂才能在这种环境下行动起来。

EUR/USD, USD/JPY and AUD/USD Forecast – US Dollar a bit Mixed Heading into the Weekend.The US dollar is a bit mixed in the early hours of Friday, as the weekend is going to be an interesting set of events just waiting to happen. At this point, the dollar is oversold, but we would need a catalyst to get moving in this environment.

标准普尔/澳交所200指数周五下跌0.2%，收于8506点，标志着连续第四个交易日下跌，创下两周新低。该指数本周也下跌了0.5%，结束了连续五周的上涨，因为中东紧张局势的加剧继续给全球市场带来压力。投资者现在正在为美国可能在两周内做出的决定做准备，因为特朗普总统正在权衡对伊朗的潜在直接打击。与此同时，中国央行保持贷款最优惠利率不变，通过政策稳定为市场情绪提供适度支持。在国内，一份喜忧参半的就业报告几乎没有改变预期，7月份澳大利亚储备银行降息的可能性仍为75%。市场现在等待即将公布的PMI数据，以获得对澳大利亚经济健康状况的新见解。在企业方面，由于中国钢铁产量下降，主要铁矿石矿商领跌，如Fortescue（-0.5%）和力拓（-1.3%）。金融股也面临压力，下跌0.7%。另一方面，能源和黄金股提供了支撑。

The S&P/ASX 200 fell 0.2% to close at 8,506 on Friday, marking its fourth straight session of losses and a two-week low. The index also declined 0.5% for the week, ending a five-week winning streak, as rising Middle East tensions continued to weigh on global markets. Investors are now bracing for a possible US decision within two weeks, as President Trump weighs a potential direct strike on Iran. Meanwhile, China’s central bank left its loan prime rates unchanged, offering modest support to sentiment through policy stability. At home, a mixed jobs report did little to shift expectations, with a July RBA rate cut still priced at a 75% probability. Markets now await upcoming PMI figures for fresh insight over Australia’s economic health. On the corporate front, major iron ore miners led losses, such as Fortescue (-0.5%) and Rio Tinto (-1.3%), amid a drop in Chinese steel production. Financials also came under pressure, down 0.7%. On the flip side, energy and gold stocks provided support.

澳元/日元攀升至94.35-94.40阻力区；上行潜力似乎有限。澳元/日元交叉盘建立在隔夜从93.80区域反弹的基础上，并在周五的亚洲时段获得了一些积极的牵引力。然而，由于基本面信号喜忧参半，现货价格仍局限在多日的区间内，目前交易在94.35-94.40的水平阻力位附近，当日涨幅不到0.10%。

AUD/JPY climbs to 94.35-94.40 resistance zone; upside potential seems limited.The AUD/JPY cross is building on the overnight bounce from the 93.80 area and gaining some positive traction during the Asian session on Friday. Spot prices, however, remain confined within a multi-day-old range amid mixed fundamental cues and currently trade around the 94.35-94.40 horizontal resistance, up less than 0.10% for the day.

周五，澳元稳定在0.648美元上方，但仍面临压力，因为中东紧张局势升级和美国可能参与该地区事务，打压了风险情绪。随着特朗普总统权衡对伊朗的潜在直接打击，全球市场现在正在为美国可能在两周内做出的决定做准备。然而，在中国人民银行保持贷款最优惠利率不变后，中国的代理货币得到了一些支撑，这有助于提振地区需求情绪。在国内，最近澳大利亚就业报告喜忧参半，几乎没有改变预期，7月份澳大利亚储备银行降息的可能性仍为75%。西太平洋银行预计下一步将在8月采取行动，理由是央行倾向于谨慎行事，需要评估第二季度通胀和全球状况。投资者现在转向即将公布的PMI数据，以更清楚地了解澳大利亚的经济势头。

The Australian dollar stabilized above $0.648 on Friday, but remained under pressure as escalating Middle East tensions and the potential US involvement in the region weighed on risk sentiment. Global markets are now bracing for a possible US decision within two weeks, as President Trump weighs a potential direct strike on Iran. However, the China-proxy currency found some support after the People’s Bank of China left its Loan Prime Rates unchanged, helping sentiment around regional demand. Domestically, the recent mixed Australian jobs report did little to alter expectations, with a July RBA rate cut still priced at a 75% probability. Westpac expects the next move in August, citing the central bank’s preference for caution and the need to assess second-quarter inflation and global conditions. Investors now turn to upcoming PMI figures for a clearer read on Australia’s economic momentum.