美国、伊朗和中东风险使WTI升至近60美元。今年早些时候马杜罗下台后，特朗普的政权更迭重点转向了伊朗，那里有数千人在街头游行，增加了地区升级和潜在原油供应中断的风险。伊朗仍然是欧佩克第四大石油生产国，虽然积极的改革加上放松的制裁可能会使更多的供应重返市场，但非和平过渡可能会引发整个地区的报复性风险，增加原油供应的不确定性。

US, Iran, and Middle East Risks Lift WTI Near $60.Following Maduro's fall earlier this year, Trump's regime-change focus has shifted toward Iran, where thousands are marching in the streets, raising the risk of regional escalation and potential crude supply disruptions. Iran remains OPEC's fourth-largest oil producer, and while a positive reform combined with eased sanctions could allow additional supply to return to the market, a non-peaceful transition would likely trigger retaliatory risks across the region, increasing crude supply uncertainty.