立陶宛10年期国债 (Lithuania10Y) 加自选

据初步估计，立陶宛经济在2025年第二季度环比增长0.2%，较前三个月向上修正的0.6%有所放缓。这标志着连续第六个季度的扩张，尽管这是该序列中最慢的速度，主要是由于批发和零售贸易服务、运输和仓储以及信息和通信行业的强劲表现。与去年同期相比，立陶宛2025年第二季度的国内生产总值增长了3.0%，低于第一季度向上修正的3.4%。

The economy of Lithuania expanded by 0.2% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2025, easing from an upwardly revised 0.6% growth in the previous three-month period, according to preliminary estimates. This marked the sixth consecutive quarter of expansion, although it was the slowest pace in the sequence, primarily driven by strong performances in wholesale and retail trade services, transport and storage, and information and communication sectors. On a year-on-year basis, Lithuania’s GDP grew by 3.0% in Q2 2025, down from an upwardly revised 3.4% in the first quarter.

2025年6月，立陶宛的工业生产同比增长4.3%，高于上个月向下修正的11个月低点0.9%的增长。这标志着自3月以来工业活动的最强劲增长，主要得益于制造业（4.1%对5月的0.5%）和电力、天然气、蒸汽和空调供应（11.4%对14.9%）的产出增加。与此同时，采矿和采石业的产量下降幅度较小（-4.5%对-6.2%）。另一方面，供水、排污、废物管理和修复服务的活动进一步下降（-2.8%对-2.1%）。经季节性调整后，6月份工业产出下降2.7%，低于前一时期向下修正的0.9%的增长。

Industrial production in Lithuania rose by 4.3% year-on-year in June 2025, accelerating from a downwardly revised and eleven-month low of 0.9% increase in the previous month. This marked the strongest growth in industrial activity since March, mainly driven by higher output in the manufacturing sector (4.1% vs 0.5% in May) and electricity, gas, steam and air-conditioning supply (11.4% vs 14.9%). At the same time, production declined at a lesser extent for mining and quarrying (-4.5% vs -6.2%). On the other hand, activity decreased further for water supply, sewerage, waste management and remediation services (-2.8% vs -2.1%). On a seasonally adjusted basis, industrial output dropped by 2.7% in June, slipping from a downwardly revised 0.9% gain in the preceding period.

立陶宛的经常账户盈余从去年同期的2.043亿欧元收窄至2025年5月的1.3252亿欧元。商品账户赤字从2024年5月的3.5622亿欧元大幅扩大至6.0757亿欧元，而主要收入缺口也显著增加，从2.3301亿欧元增至3.7242亿欧元。与此同时，2025年5月服务账户盈余从一年前的7.6541亿欧元增至9.9863亿欧元。此外，次级收入账户录得1.2581亿欧元的盈余，而短缺为3893万欧元。

Lithuania's current account surplus narrowed to EUR 132.52 million in May 2025, from EUR 204.3 million in the same month of the previous year. The goods account deficit widened significantly to EUR 607.57 million from EUR 356.22 million in May 2024, while the primary income shortfall also increased notably, reaching EUR 372.42 million compared to EUR 233.01 million. Meanwhile, the services account surplus rose to EUR 998.63 million in May 2025 from EUR 765.41 million a year earlier. Additionally, the secondary income account recorded a surplus of EUR 125.81 million, shifting from a shortfall of EUR 38.93 million.

由于进口增长而出口下降，立陶宛的贸易逆差从去年同期的3.25亿欧元扩大到2025年5月的5.84亿欧元。进口额同比增长3.5%，达到36.39亿欧元，主要原因是机械和机械设备及其零部件（24.9%）和电动机械设备及其部件（15%）的进口增加。在贸易伙伴中，来自波兰（13.7%）、德国（12.7%）和拉脱维亚（8.1%）的进口有所增加。与此同时，出口下降4.3%，至30.54亿欧元，受矿物燃料、矿物油及其蒸馏产品（26.3%）和地面车辆（20.3%）出口下降的拖累。最大的出口目的地是拉脱维亚（12.2%）、波兰（10.2%）和德国（8.8%）。今年前五个月，该国出现27.65亿欧元的赤字，出口下降0.7%，进口增长7.2%。

Lithuania’s trade deficit widened to EUR 0.584 billion in May 2025 from EUR 0.325 billion in the corresponding month of the previous year as imports grew while exports fell. Imports rose by 3.5% year-on-year to EUR 3.639 billion, driven mainly by increases in imports of machinery and mechanical appliances and parts thereof (24.9%) and electrical machinery and equipment and parts thereof (15%). Among trading partners, imports increased from Poland (13.7%), Germany (12.7%), and Latvia (8.1%). Meanwhile, exports dropped by 4.3% to EUR 3.054 billion, weighed down by lower exports of mineral fuels, mineral oils and products of their distillation (26.3%) and ground vehicles (20.3%). The top export destinations were Latvia (12.2%), Poland (10.2%), and Germany (8.8%). For the first five months of the year, the country posted a EUR 2.765 billion deficit, with exports decreasing by 0.7% while imports climbed by 7.2%.