本周迄今为止,白银价格飙升5%以上,至每盎司51美元左右,受美国经济疲软迹象下美联储近期降息的预期支撑。美国上周公布的数据显示,10月份失业,尤其是政府和零售业,而11月初消费者信心降至3年半低点。交易员预计,美联储12月降息25个基点的可能性约为64%,美联储理事Stephen Miran主张在通胀下降和失业率上升的情况下进一步降息0.5个基点。与此同时,美国参议院通过了一项法案,在关闭40天后重新开放联邦政府,这可能会减少对贵金属的避险需求。然而,该法案在提交给唐纳德·特朗普总统之前,仍需获得美国众议院的批准。
Silver surged more than 5% to around $51 per ounce so far this week, supported by expectations of a near-term Federal Reserve rate cut amid signs of US economic weakness. US data last week pointed job losses in October, particularly in government and retail sectors, while consumer sentiment fell to a 3½-year low in early November. Traders are pricing in roughly a 64% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed cut in December, with Fed Governor Stephen Miran advocating a larger half-point reduction amid falling inflation and rising unemployment. Meanwhile, the US Senate passed a bill to reopen the federal government after a 40-day shutdown, potentially reducing safe-haven demand for precious metals. However, the bill still has to clear the US House of Representatives before being sent to President Donald Trump.