锡 (Tin) 加自选

泰国外贸部的Arada Fuangtong表示，根据与美国谈判的新贸易规则，泰国将于10月成立一个由50名成员组成的工作组，以管理原产地证书的激增。此举正值华盛顿加强对转运行为的审查之际，针对泰国和越南等东南亚国家，据称这些国家在没有附加值的情况下重新安排了中国货物的运输路线。尽管美国将泰国进口商品的拟议关税从36%降至19%，但一项全球行政命令警告称，涉嫌隐瞒原产地的商品可能面临高达40%的关税。特朗普政府尚未定义“转运”，关于地区价值内容规则的谈判仍在继续。目前，仅标记商品需要证书，但新框架预计将适用于所有运往美国的出口，扩大对原产地、成本和当地含量的检查。

Thailand will launch a 50-member task force in October to manage a surge in certificates of origin, expected under new trade rules being negotiated with the U.S., according to Arada Fuangtong of the Department of Foreign Trade. The move comes as Washington intensifies scrutiny of transshipment practices, targeting Southeast Asian nations like Thailand and Vietnam for allegedly rerouting Chinese goods without added value. While the U.S. lowered its proposed tariff on Thai imports from 36% to 19%, a global executive order warns that goods suspected of concealing origin could face duties of up to 40%. The Trump administration has yet to define “transshipment,” and talks continue over regional value content rules. Currently, certificates are required only for flagged goods, but the new framework is expected to apply to all U.S.-bound exports, expanding checks on origin, cost, and local content.

新加坡金融管理局周三发布的季度调查显示，经济学家上调了新加坡2025年的增长前景，并预计货币政策在下一次审查中保持不变。该调查基于私营部门的回应，并不代表新加坡金融管理局自己的观点或预测。由于上半年业绩强劲，政府在8月将2025年的增长区间上调至1.5-2.5%，随后中位增长预测从6月的1.7%上调至2.4%。经济学家预计第三季度同比增长0.9%。地缘政治紧张局势被认为是主要的下行风险，而贸易摩擦的缓解和科技股的上涨被视为主要的利好因素。MAS在1月和4月放松政策后，于7月保持政策稳定，大多数人预计10月或2026年1月不会改变。通胀预测仍然低迷：核心通胀率从0.8%降至0.7%，整体通胀率保持在0.9%，7月份0.5%的核心通胀率为三年多来的最低水平。

The Monetary Authority of Singapore’s quarterly survey released on Wednesday showed economists have raised Singapore’s 2025 growth outlook and expect monetary policy to remain unchanged at the next review. The survey, based on private-sector responses, does not represent MAS’s own views or forecasts. The median growth forecast was lifted to 2.4% from 1.7% in June, after the government raised its 2025 range to 1.5–2.5% in August on stronger H1 results. Economists projected Q3 growth at 0.9% year-on-year. Geopolitical tensions were cited as the main downside risk, while easing trade frictions and a tech upturn were seen as key upsides. MAS held policy steady in July after easing in January and April, with most expecting no change in October or January 2026. Inflation forecasts remained subdued: core inflation was trimmed to 0.7% from 0.8%, headline stayed at 0.9%, and July’s 0.5% core inflation marked the lowest in over three years.

新加坡金融管理局调查显示，经济学家上调GDP预测，看到稳定的政策。新加坡金融管理局周三对预测者进行的一项调查显示，经济学家上调了对新加坡今年经济增长的预测，并预计货币政策将在下个月的审查中保持稳定。

Singapore MAS survey shows economists lift GDP forecast, see steady policy.Economists have raised their forecasts for Singapore's growth this year and expect monetary policy to be held steady at a review next month, a survey of forecasters by the Monetary Authority of Singapore showed on Wednesday.

泰国参议院周二批准了从10月1日开始的财政年度3.78万亿泰铢的预算，缓解了投资者在帕通塔兰·西那瓦被罢免总理后政治不稳定的担忧。上个月，该法案在众议院获得通过，200名参议员中有148票赞成。现在，它正在等待皇室的认可。看守副总理兼财政部长Pichai Chunhavajira表示：“政府将监督支出，以确保其透明、可核查，并实现既定的政策目标，在快速变化的环境中推动国家向前发展。”。该预算约占泰国5500亿美元经济的20%，预计赤字为8600亿泰铢，占国内生产总值的4.3%。

Thailand’s Senate approved on Tuesday a THB 3.78 trillion budget for the fiscal year beginning October 1, easing investor concerns amid political instability following Paetongtarn Shinawatra’s removal as prime minister. The bill passed with 148 votes in favor out of 200 senators, after clearing the House of Representatives last month. It now awaits royal endorsement. “The government will oversee the spending to ensure it is transparent, verifiable, and achieves the set policy goals to move the country forward amid rapidly changing circumstances,” said caretaker Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance Pichai Chunhavajira. The budget represents roughly 20% of Thailand’s USD 550 billion economy and includes a projected deficit of THB 860 billion, or 4.3% of GDP.