周二，新西兰元跌至0.590美元左右，结束了两天的涨势，并回落至两个多月来的低点，因为投资者的注意力转向了本周晚些时候公布的第二季度关键劳动力数据。市场预计失业率将升至5.3%，为2016年第四季度以来的最高水平，这加强了央行在本月即将召开的会议上降息的理由。与此同时，从8月7日开始，美国将把新西兰商品的关税从10%提高到15%，这加剧了人们对潜在经济影响的担忧，并给关键出口部门带来了压力。然而，经济学家认为，在大宗商品价格强劲的支撑下，整体影响将是可控的。在其他地方，私人数据显示，7月份中国服务业的表现出乎意料地强劲，这有助于缓解因密切贸易关系而对新西兰出口的担忧。美元走软也提供了一些支撑，此前美国就业报告弱于预期，提振了人们对早些时候降息的预期。
The New Zealand dollar slipped to around $0.590 on Tuesday, snapping a two-day gain and moving back toward a more than two-month low, as investor focus shifted to key Q2 labor data due later this week. The market expects the unemployment rate to rise to 5.3%, the highest since Q4 2016, strengthening the case for a rate cut by the central bank at its upcoming meeting this month. Meanwhile, starting August 7, the US will raise tariffs on New Zealand goods from 10% to 15%, fueling concerns about the potential economic impact and putting pressure on key export sectors. However, economists believe the overall effect will be manageable, supported by strong commodity prices. Elsewhere, private data showed an unexpectedly strong performance in China’s services sector in July, helping ease concerns over Kiwi exports due to close trade ties. A softer US dollar also provided some support, following a weaker-than-expected US jobs report that boosted expectations for earlier rate cuts.
