阿曼苏丹MSM30指数 (MSMTOP30) 加自选

2025年9月，阿曼央行将其关键回购利率下调25个基点至4.75%。这一决定是在美联储最近降息25个基点之后做出的。

The central bank of Oman lowered its key repo rate by 25 basis points to 4.75% in September 2025. This decision follows the US Federal Reserve’s recent 25 basis point rate cut.

2025年8月，阿曼的年通货膨胀率降至0.5%，为2024年11月以来的最低水平，从前一个月的0.8%有所缓解。宽松的主要原因是食品和非酒精饮料的持续通货紧缩（-1.8%，而7月份为-1.4%），以及娱乐和文化（-0.2%）以及家具和家居维护（-0.1%）的价格持续下跌。额外的下行压力来自运输通胀（2.7%对4%）和杂项商品和服务（5.3%对6.5%）的显著放缓，而餐馆和酒店的价格增长保持稳定（2.5%）。按月计算，消费者价格指数下降0.5%，扭转了上一时期0.2%的涨幅。

The annual inflation rate in Oman slowed to 0.5% in August 2025, marking the lowest level since November 2024 and easing from 0.8% in the previous month. The easing was largely driven by sustained deflation in food and non-alcoholic beverages (-1.8% vs. -1.4% in July), alongside continued price drops in recreation and culture (-0.2%) and furnishings and household maintenance (-0.1%). Additional downward pressure came from a notable slowdown in transport inflation (2.7% vs. 4%) and miscellaneous goods and services (5.3% vs. 6.5%), while price growth remained steady for restaurants and hotels (2.5%). On a monthly basis, consumer prices fell by 0.5%, reversing a 0.2% increase in the prior period.

阿曼的年通货膨胀率从上个月的0.6%降至2025年6月的0.5%。这标志着自2024年11月以来的最低水平，主要是由于食品和非酒精饮料价格的进一步下跌（-2.0%对5月份的-0.8%）。家具和家居维护成本也继续下降（-0.2%对-0.3%），娱乐和文化成本保持不变（0.0%对0.3%）。此外，餐馆和酒店的通货膨胀有所缓和（1.4%对1.5%）。另一方面，少数类别的价格增长加速，运输通胀从2.4%上升到2.6%，杂项商品和服务通胀从6.4%上升到6.8%。按月计算，6月份消费者价格与5月份持平。

The annual inflation rate in Oman eased to 0.5% in June 2025 from 0.6% in the previous month. This marked the lowest level since November 2024, mainly driven by a deeper decline in prices for food and non-alcoholic beverages (-2.0% vs -0.8% in May). Costs also continued to fall for furnishings and household maintenance (-0.2% vs -0.3%) and remained flat for recreation and culture (0.0% vs 0.3%). Additionally, inflation moderated for restaurants and hotels (1.4% vs 1.5%). On the other hand, price growth accelerated in a few categories, with transport inflation picking up to 2.6% from 2.4%, and inflation for miscellaneous goods and services rose to 6.8% from 6.4%. On a monthly basis, consumer prices were unchanged in June, the same as in May.

穆迪全球评级周四将阿曼的长期发行人和高级无担保评级从Ba1上调至Baa3，理由是债务比率持续改善和对油价下跌的弹性预期。该机构还将该国的前景从积极调整为稳定。2024年底，阿曼政府债务占国内生产总值的比例从2023年底的37.5%降至35.5%，延续了自2020年开始的积极趋势。与此同时，2024年政府支出降至GDP的29%以下，而2016-2020年期间的平均水平超过42%。这种财政限制有助于将阿曼2024-2025年的盈亏平衡油价降至每桶70美元以下，而2016年至2020年的平均价格为每桶84美元以上。标准普尔对阿曼的信用评级仍为BBB-，前景稳定。

Moody's Global Ratings upgraded Oman’s long-term issuer and senior unsecured ratings to Baa3 from Ba1 on Thursday, citing expectations of continued improvement in debt ratios and resilience to lower oil prices. The agency also revised the country's outlook to stable from positive. Oman's government debt fell to 35.5% of GDP at the end of 2024, down from 37.5% at the end of 2023, continuing a positive trend that began in 2020. Meanwhile, government expenditure dropped to below 29% of GDP in 2024, compared to an average of more than 42% during the 2016–2020 period. This fiscal restraint has helped lower Oman’s breakeven oil price to under USD 70 per barrel for 2024–2025, compared to an average of more than USD 84 per barrel between 2016 and 2020. Standard & Poor’s credit rating for Oman remains at BBB- with a stable outlook.