马来西亚央行在2025年11月连续第二次会议将关键利率维持在2.75%不变,符合市场预期。董事会表示,这一决定是恰当的,有助于在价格稳定的情况下实现经济增长。今年迄今为止,整体通胀率和核心通胀率分别平均为1.4%和1.9%。展望未来,在全球成本压力持续缓解的情况下,预计2026年整体通胀将保持温和,而核心通胀预计将保持稳定,接近长期平均水平。在增长方面,最近的数据显示,在持续的国内需求、有弹性的电气和电子产品出口以及大宗商品生产复苏的推动下,2025年第三季度的GDP表现好于预期。2026年预算下的措施也有望支持经济增长。展望未来,到2026年,有弹性的国内需求将继续支撑经济增长。然而,前景仍然不确定,特别是由于潜在的全球发展。
The Central Bank of Malaysia kept its key interest rate unchanged at 2.75% for a second consecutive meeting in November 2025, in line with market expectations. The board said the decision was appropriate and supportive of economic growth amid stable prices. Year-to-date, headline and core inflation averaged 1.4% and 1.9%, respectively. Looking ahead, headline inflation is expected to remain moderate in 2026 amid continued easing in global cost pressures, while core inflation is projected to stay stable and close to its long-term average. On the growth front, recent data indicate better-than-expected GDP performance in Q3 2025, driven by sustained domestic demand, resilient electrical and electronics exports, and a recovery in commodity production. Measures under Budget 2026 are also expected to support growth. Looking ahead, resilient domestic demand should continue to underpin growth into 2026. However, the outlook remains uncertain, particularly due to potential global developments.