穆迪于2025年7月7日确认以色列的评级为“Baa1”，维持“负面”展望，但警告称，与伊朗的持续军事冲突可能会加剧财政压力。该机构指出，自2023年10月以来，地缘政治风险上升是以色列财政状况疲软的关键因素。穆迪现在预计，由于国防开支增加和经济增长放缓，以色列的债务与国内生产总值之比将在中期达到75%左右的峰值，高于此前预测的70%。该机构警告称，新的冲突可能会破坏基础设施，破坏安全，并对投资和经济活动造成压力。5月，标普全球也确认了以色列的“A/A-1”评级，但指出长期冲突可能会损害经济和财政表现。惠誉评级表示，以色列与伊朗冲突的任何影响似乎都在以色列目前的“A”评级范围内，尽管前景是负面的。
Moody’s affirmed Israel’s ratings at “Baa1” on July 7, 2025, maintaining a “negative” outlook, but warned that continued military conflict with Iran could deepen fiscal pressures. The agency cited elevated geopolitical risks since October 2023 as a key factor behind Israel’s weakened fiscal position. Moody’s now expects Israel’s debt-to-GDP ratio to peak around 75% in the medium term, up from a previous forecast of 70%, due to increased defense spending and slower economic growth. The agency cautioned that renewed conflict could damage infrastructure, undermine security, and weigh on investment and economic activity. In May, S&P Global also affirmed Israel’s “A/A-1” rating but noted that prolonged conflict could hurt economic and fiscal performance. Fitch Ratings said any fallout from the Israel-Iran conflict appeared manageable within Israel’s current “A” rating range, albeit with a negative outlook.
