以色列TA100指数 (TA100) 加自选

2025年第二季度，以色列经济年化萎缩4.0%，超过了3.5%的初步估计，结束了连续五个季度的增长。经济衰退反映了与伊朗战争的影响，这场战争迫使许多企业倒闭，并对消费者支出、出口和投资造成了压力。这标志着自2023年第四季度以来的首次季度收缩，当时经济暴跌21.0%。4月至6月，私人消费下降4.4%，固定投资暴跌12.7%，公共支出下降1.0%。出口下降2.9%，进口增长3.8%。

Israel’s economy shrank by 4.0% at an annualized rate in the second quarter of 2025, exceeding the preliminary estimate of a 3.5% decline and ending a five-quarter streak of growth. The downturn reflects the impact of the war with Iran, which forced many businesses to shut down and weighed on consumer spending, exports, and investment. This marks the first quarterly contraction since Q4 2023, when the economy tumbled 21.0%. In the April-to-June period, private consumption fell 4.4%, fixed investment plunged 12.7%, and public spending decreased 1.0%. Exports dropped 2.9% while imports rose 3.8%.

2025年8月，以色列的年度通货膨胀率连续第二个月降至2.9%的一年多来的低点，自2024年6月以来首次恢复到政府1%-3%的目标。相比之下，7月份的读数为3.1%，市场预期为2.8%。经济放缓的原因是新鲜水果价格下跌、服装和家居用品的季节性变化以及谢克尔升值。文化和娱乐（2.9%）、交通和通讯（1.6%）、新鲜蔬菜（1.5%）、住房（0.8%）和家庭维护（0.3%）的价格上涨，而新鲜水果（-2.7%）、服装和鞋类（-1.6%）以及家具和家用设备（-0.5%）的价格下跌。 8月份，以色列货币兑美元汇率上涨约1.6%。8月份CPI环比上涨0.7%，7月份上涨0.4%，略高于分析师预测的0.6%。

Israel's annual inflation eased for the second month to a over one-year low of 2.9% in August 2025, returning to the government’s target of 1%-3% for the first time since June 2024. This compares with July’s reading of 3.1% and market expectations of 2.8%. The slowdown was driven by lower fresh fruit prices, seasonal shifts in clothing and home goods, and the appreciating shekel. Price growth was observed in culture and entertainment (2.9%), transportation and communication (1.6%), fresh vegetables (1.5%), housing (0.8%), and home maintenance (0.3%), while prices fell for fresh fruit (-2.7%), clothing and footwear (-1.6%), and furniture and household equipment (-0.5%). The Israeli currency gained about 1.6% against the dollar in August. On a monthly basis, the CPI went up by 0.7% in August, after a 0.4% increase in July and slightly above analysts' estimates of a 0.6% rise.

TA-125指数升至3170.00点的历史高点。在过去的4周里，特拉维夫TA-125 IND上涨了4.93%，在过去的12个月里，上涨了55.31%。

TA-125 increased to an all-time high of 3170.00 Index Points. Over the past 4 weeks, TEL AVIV TA-125 IND gained 4.93%, and in the last 12 months, it increased 55.31%.

以色列央行在8月20日连续第13次会议将基准利率保持在4.5%不变，理由是在AmKalvi行动的剧烈但暂时的打击后，有迹象表明经济正在迅速复苏。第二季度，国内生产总值按年计算收缩了3.5%，尽管不包括运营影响的活动仍然是积极的，但低于趋势。7月份通货膨胀率降至3.1%，略高于央行1-3%的目标区间，预计未来几个月将有所回升。政策制定者指出了持续的地缘政治不确定性、供应限制和全球贸易疲软带来的风险。劳动力市场已基本恢复到运营前的状态，而谢克尔小幅走弱，财政赤字仍高达GDP的4.9%。以色列央行采取谨慎立场，在监测经济复苏、通货膨胀和地缘政治风险的同时保持利率稳定。

The Bank of Israel kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.5% for the 13th straight meeting on August 20, citing signs of a rapid recovery after the sharp but temporary hit from Operation Am Kalvi. GDP contracted 3.5% in annualized terms in the second quarter, though activity excluding the operation’s impact remained positive but below trend. Inflation eased to 3.1% in July, just above the central bank’s 1–3% target range, with expectations pointing to a return within bounds in the coming months. Policymakers flagged risks from persistent geopolitical uncertainty, supply constraints, and weak global trade. The labor market has largely returned to pre-operation conditions, while the shekel weakened modestly, and fiscal deficits remain elevated at 4.9% of GDP. The Bank of Israel adopts a cautious stance, keeping rates steady as it monitors economic recovery, inflation, and geopolitical risks.