欧元/俄罗斯卢布 (EURRUB) 加自选

美元/日元上涨，牛市目标更大，向150.00移动。美元兑日元汇率从140.00区间开始再次上涨。美元/日元突破141.20和142.00阻力位。

USD/JPY Rises, Bulls Aim Larger Move Toward 150.00.The US Dollar started a fresh increase from the 140.00 zone against the Japanese Yen. USD/JPY cleared the 141.20 and 142.00 resistance levels.

尽管ISM制造业PMI收缩加剧，但美元走强。美元上涨，此前月度“工厂健康”检查强于预期，缓解了投资者对进口税上调的担忧。

U.S. Dollar Strengthens Despite Deeper ISM Manufacturing PMI Contraction.The U.S. dollar rose after a monthly “factory health” check came in stronger than expected and eased investor worries about higher taxes on imports.

周五，澳元攀升至0.64美元以上，从上一交易日的下跌中反弹，因为对美中贸易谈判的乐观情绪日益高涨，提振了全球情绪。中国宣布，在美国官员多次尝试进行外联活动后，正在评估贸易谈判的前景。本周早些时候，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普还建议与印度、日本和韩国达成潜在的贸易协议，同时对与中国达成协议表示乐观。在国内方面，数据显示，3月份澳大利亚零售额增长0.3%，略低于预期的0.4%。再加上核心通胀疲软，最新数据提振了市场对澳大利亚储备银行近期降息的预期。人们普遍预计澳大利亚储备银行将在5月份将现金利率下调25个基点至3.85%，市场预计到年底将进一步降至2.85%。

The Australian dollar climbed above $0.64 on Friday, rebounding from the previous session’s losses as growing optimism over US-China trade negotiations lifted global sentiment. China announced it is evaluating the prospect of trade talks following multiple outreach attempts by US officials. Earlier in the week, US President Donald Trump also suggested potential trade deals with India, Japan, and South Korea, while expressing optimism about an agreement with China. On the domestic front, data showed Australian retail sales rose 0.3% in March, slightly below expectations of 0.4%. Combined with softening core inflation, the latest figures bolstered market expectations of a near-term rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia. The RBA is widely anticipated to lower its cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.85% in May, with markets pricing in a further decline to 2.85% by year-end.

美国2025年4月非农就业数据——值得关注的关键估计范围。看看与关键数据点的中值共识（上图中的“预期”）相比的预期范围：

US April 2025 non-farm payrolls data - the critical key ranges for estimates to watch.Taking a look at the range of expectations compared to the median consensus (the 'expected' in the screenshot above) for the key data points: