在美元走强和贵金属价格回落的情况下,南非货币兑美元汇率约为17.4,创下一周多来的最低水平。与此同时,南非储备银行(SARB)如预期的那样将回购利率维持在7%不变,这表明通胀压力仍然是其政策立场的核心。政策制定者指出,尽管8月份通胀率意外降至3.3%,但通胀仍如预期般呈上升趋势。新加坡储备银行预计,今年的整体通胀率平均为3.4%,明年为3.6%,2027年将恢复到3%。储备银行和国家财政部正在讨论将南非的通胀目标降低并缩小到3%左右,将预期锚定在这一水平,而不是之前的4.5%的中点。州长Kganyago表示:“将通胀稳定在3%意味着较低的长期政策利率。”他补充说,货币政策委员会致力于完成改革,并与财政部协调,尽快就新目标达成一致。
The South African traded around 17.4 per USD, hitting the lowest in over a week, amid a strengthening dollar and as precious metals prices retreated. Meanwhile, the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) left its repo rate unchanged at 7%, as anticipated, an indication that inflationary pressures remain central to its policy stance. Policymakers noted that, despite a surprising dip to 3.3% in August, inflation remains on an upward trend as expected. The SARB sees headline inflation averaging 3.4% this year, and 3.6% next year, before reverting to 3% in 2027. The Reserve Bank and National Treasury are discussing lowering and narrowing South Africa’s inflation target to around 3%, anchoring expectations at this level instead of the previous 4.5% midpoint. “Stabilising inflation at 3% implies a lower longer-term policy rate,” Governor Kganyago said, adding that the MPC is committed to finalising the reform and coordinating with the Treasury to agree on a new target as soon as practicable.